Remember you can adapt these general ideas to fit your own school, town, or situation.
Taking a strict average over the last thirteen years, the US experiences 2. It is also interesting to note that these shootings have taken place all over the country and in all regions.
However, most school shootings take place at high schools. Of the 32 US school shootings from through23 of them took place in a high school. Only three took place in an elementary school. Five took place in a middle school. One took place in a one-room Amish K schoolhouse.
Now that we have an understanding of the number of school shootings in a given year, we need to know how many schools there are.
The best estimate from the Center for Education Reform is that there are aboutK schools, both public and private, in the United States.
There are about 99, public schools, but I am including private schools in my calculation because a number of the school shootings over the last 13 years took place at private religious schools. So, what are the odds that a school shooting will occur in your child's school in ?
If you take the average number of school shootings per year and compare it to the number of schools in the US, you get 2. Reducing that down reveals the following statistic: The chances of any particular K school in the United States experiencing a shooting incident in any given year is approximately 1 in 53, Breaking the numbers down a little further reveals the following statistics: The chances of a school shooting taking place in a US high school in any given year: The chances of a school shooting taking place in a US elementary or middle school in any given year: I relied on publicly available numbers and a probability statistic calculation that is simple enough to be taught to middle school students.
It is obviously much more complicated than I have presented it to be--there are a number of factors that would need to be examined prior to claiming that 1 in 53, is wholly accurate. And, not every shooting incident is as horrendous as the one in Newtown, Connecticut.
In some shootings, only the shooter died. In other incidents, no one was killed. But, in each incident, at least one gun was fired in a school. Also keep in mind, your chances of dying in a car crash in is approximately 1 inwhich is about the same as your chances of dying due to any type of gun violence in the next year.
The question we now need to ask ourselves is what is an acceptable level of risk? Are we willing to ride in cars? Are we willing to keep guns around?
Are we willing to send our kids to school? As far as the school shooting question goes, there is extremely little chance your child's school will experience a school shooting incident in But, we are virtually guaranteed to have a few school shootings somewhere in the US in the next year.
It probably won't happen to us. It probably won't happen in our city. It probably won't even happen in our state.
But, it will happen to someone. It seems like we should do something about that, don't you think? Thanks for reading-- Max Wachtel, Ph.Disclaimer: This work has been submitted by a student. This is not an example of the work written by our professional academic writers.
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